KA SEN · MARKET CLOSE DIGEST

美股收盘日报

覆盖美国交易日：2026-08-12 · 数据约更新于 2026-08-13T06:15:49+09:00（日本时间）

风险偏好

偏 risk-on

三大指数收涨，Nasdaq +0.54%

Fed 净流动性

$5.841T

资产 − TGA − ON RRP；周环比：数据未在抓取源中提供

MOVE / USDJPY

72.1 / 159.40

MOVE 低于 130 警戒线；汇率暂未显示急剧套息反转

上涨广度

板块 8/11 · 科技 6/14

板块与个股均按涨跌幅排序

先说结论

指数普涨但强弱分化：Nasdaq 领跑，Dow 明显落后，市场更像偏向成长/科技风格。

AI/高 beta 个股相对突出，PLTR、TSLA、META 领涨；单日表现不能单独证明基本面变化。

净流动性约 $5.841T，ON RRP 仅 $0.72B；MOVE 72.1，资金与债券波动信号整体平静。

S&P 500 与 Dow 维持多头均线排列；Nasdaq虽在均线上方，但抓取脚本标记为“短线反弹，趋势待确认”。

归因上，公开市场报道将通胀数据、芯片/AI需求与收益率回落视为可能催化；对本交易日的精确因果，信号仍有限。

三大指数

指数	收盘	涨跌幅	MA20/50/100/200 偏离度	技术状态	来源
S&P 500	7,748.50	+0.26%	MA20: +2.56% MA50: +3.26% MA100: +6.27% MA200: +9.67%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Nasdaq Composite	26,588.49	+0.54%	MA20: +3.29% MA50: +2.60% MA100: +5.71% MA200: +10.12%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
Dow Jones Industrial Average	53,770.27	-0.04%	MA20: +1.75% MA50: +2.95% MA100: +6.58% MA200: +8.96%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情

🌐 全球宏观流动性与资金水位

Fed 净流动性

公式：Fed Total Assets − TGA − ON RRP

Fed资产：$6.749T（2026-08-05）
TGA：$907.32B（2026-08-05）
ON RRP：$0.72B（2026-08-12）
净流动性：$5.841T

趋势判断：绝对水位较高；本次 JSON 未提供可核验周环比序列，避免臆测变化方向。

Fed H.4.1 · FRED WALCL

债券波动与日元套息

MOVE：72.1（阈值 >130 为警戒）→ 正常

USDJPY：159.40；本日抓取约 +0.07%。美元兑日元仍在高位，但没有从该日数据看到单周 >3% 的急跌信号。

美日2年期利差未被当前数据源直接抓取，套息结论仅为低置信度观察。

MOVE行情 · USDJPY行情

11 个 S&P 500 板块

上涨 8/11，下跌 3/11；按当日涨跌幅从高到低。SPDR ETF 为代理。

Information Technology +1.49%Real Estate +0.93%Utilities +0.48%Consumer Staples +0.46%Health Care +0.26%Financials +0.21%Energy +0.16%Industrials +0.10%Communication Services -0.90%Consumer Discretionary -1.13%Materials -1.24%

板块/ETF	收盘	涨跌幅	均线偏离	技术状态	来源
Information Technology	188.86	+1.49%	MA20: +5.14% MA50: +3.15% MA100: +10.56% MA200: +20.21%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
Real Estate	44.49	+0.93%	MA20: -1.53% MA50: -0.62% MA100: +1.17% MA200: +4.01%	震荡/结构混合	行情
Utilities	43.84	+0.48%	MA20: -1.90% MA50: -2.21% MA100: -2.97% MA200: -2.12%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情
Consumer Staples	85.08	+0.46%	MA20: -0.05% MA50: +0.79% MA100: +1.61% MA200: +3.02%	短线回落但仍在中长期均线上方	行情
Health Care	168.44	+0.26%	MA20: +2.95% MA50: +5.95% MA100: +10.31% MA200: +9.88%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Financials	57.92	+0.21%	MA20: +1.56% MA50: +4.97% MA100: +9.03% MA200: +9.19%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Energy	61.03	+0.16%	MA20: +3.89% MA50: +7.37% MA100: +6.01% MA200: +14.64%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Industrials	185.88	+0.10%	MA20: +2.06% MA50: +3.00% MA100: +6.04% MA200: +10.27%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Communication Services	110.27	-0.90%	MA20: +0.40% MA50: +0.18% MA100: -2.01% MA200: -3.43%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情
Consumer Discretionary	117.89	-1.13%	MA20: +2.17% MA50: +1.69% MA100: +1.80% MA200: +0.66%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
Materials	52.58	-1.24%	MA20: +1.98% MA50: +2.40% MA100: +2.89% MA200: +6.72%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情

重点 AI / 科技股

上涨 6/14，下跌 8/14；按当日涨跌幅从高到低。

股票	收盘	涨跌幅	均线偏离	技术状态	来源
ORCL	153.28	+5.36%	MA20: +15.80% MA50: -1.57% MA100: -6.73% MA200: -13.61%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情
NVDA	224.09	+3.03%	MA20: +7.54% MA50: +8.64% MA100: +10.25% MA200: +15.18%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
AMD	482.93	+1.82%	MA20: -2.28% MA50: -5.63% MA100: +14.17% MA200: +50.02%	震荡/结构混合	行情
TSM	429.15	+1.68%	MA20: +4.75% MA50: +0.81% MA100: +6.35% MA200: +18.49%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
ARM	271.87	+1.09%	MA20: +2.51% MA50: -14.08% MA100: +4.48% MA200: +40.15%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
ASML	1,810.07	+0.59%	MA20: +5.47% MA50: +2.24% MA100: +12.03% MA200: +27.43%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
AVGO	416.05	-0.01%	MA20: +5.01% MA50: +5.74% MA100: +6.41% MA200: +12.83%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
GOOGL	343.54	-0.08%	MA20: -0.96% MA50: -3.08% MA100: -2.32% MA200: +3.93%	震荡/结构混合	行情
AAPL	302.25	-0.87%	MA20: -5.91% MA50: -2.33% MA100: +3.17% MA200: +7.91%	震荡/结构混合	行情
TSLA	327.51	-1.59%	MA20: -1.83% MA50: -12.52% MA100: -14.59% MA200: -19.55%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情
AMZN	267.28	-1.83%	MA20: +4.82% MA50: +7.89% MA100: +7.89% MA200: +12.62%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
PLTR	171.04	-2.23%	MA20: +21.11% MA50: +27.82% MA100: +24.07% MA200: +12.38%	震荡/结构混合	行情
MSFT	492.43	-2.26%	MA20: +11.82% MA50: +20.02% MA100: +20.91% MA200: +13.78%	震荡/结构混合	行情
META	578.85	-3.38%	MA20: -3.68% MA50: -3.18% MA100: -4.81% MA200: -8.00%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情

Key Forces / 变异视角：当日强势集中于 PLTR、TSLA、META 等高弹性名字，可能反映风险偏好与 AI 叙事交易，而非统一的盈利预期重估；市场若在交易 AI 基建需求改善，仍需后续财报、订单和现金流验证。当前未检索到可可靠确认的上述14家公司当日财报重大公告，故不把单日涨幅解释成基本面催化。

关键均线完整表

标的	收盘	日涨跌	MA20/50/100/200 偏离度	状态	图表源
S&P 500	7,748.50	+0.26%	MA20: +2.56% MA50: +3.26% MA100: +6.27% MA200: +9.67%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Nasdaq Composite	26,588.49	+0.54%	MA20: +3.29% MA50: +2.60% MA100: +5.71% MA200: +10.12%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
Dow Jones Industrial Average	53,770.27	-0.04%	MA20: +1.75% MA50: +2.95% MA100: +6.58% MA200: +8.96%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Information Technology	188.86	+1.49%	MA20: +5.14% MA50: +3.15% MA100: +10.56% MA200: +20.21%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
Real Estate	44.49	+0.93%	MA20: -1.53% MA50: -0.62% MA100: +1.17% MA200: +4.01%	震荡/结构混合	行情
Utilities	43.84	+0.48%	MA20: -1.90% MA50: -2.21% MA100: -2.97% MA200: -2.12%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情
Consumer Staples	85.08	+0.46%	MA20: -0.05% MA50: +0.79% MA100: +1.61% MA200: +3.02%	短线回落但仍在中长期均线上方	行情
Health Care	168.44	+0.26%	MA20: +2.95% MA50: +5.95% MA100: +10.31% MA200: +9.88%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Financials	57.92	+0.21%	MA20: +1.56% MA50: +4.97% MA100: +9.03% MA200: +9.19%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Energy	61.03	+0.16%	MA20: +3.89% MA50: +7.37% MA100: +6.01% MA200: +14.64%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Industrials	185.88	+0.10%	MA20: +2.06% MA50: +3.00% MA100: +6.04% MA200: +10.27%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
Communication Services	110.27	-0.90%	MA20: +0.40% MA50: +0.18% MA100: -2.01% MA200: -3.43%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情
Consumer Discretionary	117.89	-1.13%	MA20: +2.17% MA50: +1.69% MA100: +1.80% MA200: +0.66%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
Materials	52.58	-1.24%	MA20: +1.98% MA50: +2.40% MA100: +2.89% MA200: +6.72%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
ORCL	153.28	+5.36%	MA20: +15.80% MA50: -1.57% MA100: -6.73% MA200: -13.61%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情
NVDA	224.09	+3.03%	MA20: +7.54% MA50: +8.64% MA100: +10.25% MA200: +15.18%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
AMD	482.93	+1.82%	MA20: -2.28% MA50: -5.63% MA100: +14.17% MA200: +50.02%	震荡/结构混合	行情
TSM	429.15	+1.68%	MA20: +4.75% MA50: +0.81% MA100: +6.35% MA200: +18.49%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
ARM	271.87	+1.09%	MA20: +2.51% MA50: -14.08% MA100: +4.48% MA200: +40.15%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
ASML	1,810.07	+0.59%	MA20: +5.47% MA50: +2.24% MA100: +12.03% MA200: +27.43%	短线反弹，趋势待确认	行情
AVGO	416.05	-0.01%	MA20: +5.01% MA50: +5.74% MA100: +6.41% MA200: +12.83%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
GOOGL	343.54	-0.08%	MA20: -0.96% MA50: -3.08% MA100: -2.32% MA200: +3.93%	震荡/结构混合	行情
AAPL	302.25	-0.87%	MA20: -5.91% MA50: -2.33% MA100: +3.17% MA200: +7.91%	震荡/结构混合	行情
TSLA	327.51	-1.59%	MA20: -1.83% MA50: -12.52% MA100: -14.59% MA200: -19.55%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情
AMZN	267.28	-1.83%	MA20: +4.82% MA50: +7.89% MA100: +7.89% MA200: +12.62%	强势多头：Close > MA20 > MA50 > MA200	行情
PLTR	171.04	-2.23%	MA20: +21.11% MA50: +27.82% MA100: +24.07% MA200: +12.38%	震荡/结构混合	行情
MSFT	492.43	-2.26%	MA20: +11.82% MA50: +20.02% MA100: +20.91% MA200: +13.78%	震荡/结构混合	行情
META	578.85	-3.38%	MA20: -3.68% MA50: -3.18% MA100: -4.81% MA200: -8.00%	跌破 MA200 风险	行情

重要归因源

宏观 / 跨资产

【中｜中】影响：指数、科技；方向：利多。公开报道提到温和通胀数据与收益率/美元走低可能支持风险资产。Barron's市场直播
谨慎解释：报道解释的是盘中逻辑，不等于已证明的单一因果。

公司 / 个股

【低｜中】影响：AI/高 beta；方向：利多。PLTR、TSLA、META领涨，但本抓取未关联到可核验的当日统一公司催化。来源：PLTR行情、TSLA行情。
信号偏薄，避免把价格动作当作财报结论。

技术面 / 风险偏好

【高｜中】影响：大盘与成长风格；方向：利多。S&P 500、Dow 收盘高于 MA20/50/100/200；MOVE 72.1 低于130。来源：S&P历史、MOVE历史。